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Situation Assessment 14 September, 2011

The Outlooks for the Opposition in Iraq’s Kurdistan Region: A Strong Traditional Infrastructure and a Wager on Dismantling “Regionalism”

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Two years after the beginning of its parliamentary participation, the Change alliance - the largest opposition formation in the Iraqi Kurdistan parliament with 25 of 111 seats - demanded the dissolution of both the legislature and the regional government, and called for the formation of a technocratic government that would pave the way for early legislative elections.

It also called on the two largest Kurdish political parties, the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), to stop interfering in the government's bureaucratic apparatus, and to pledge to refrain from "political nepotism".[1]

This paper discusses the outlook and future of the political struggle in the Iraqi Kurdistan region, which exhibits a strong polarization of power, which in turn is represented by both the two traditional Kurdish political parties and the rising political forces influencing the politics of this administrative region.[2]

This paper studies the positions of these forces at the moment, and their connections to the general political climate in the region. It also discusses the possible paths available to the political opposition, based on the transformations expected in the region in the foreseeable future.

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  • [1] To read more about the demands of the Kurdish parliamentary "Change" alliance, see the following link: www.alrafidayn.com/2009-05-26-22-07-53/29332-2011-01-30-09-58-01.html
  • [2] For more on the structure of the Kurdish parliament, see: www.perleman.org/default.aspx